Venezuelan opposition candidate Capriles may still pose future threat to Chavez - Washington Post [getdailynow.blogspot.com]
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CARACAS, Venezuela â€" His loss in Sunday’s presidential election was resounding, but in conceding defeat before tearful followers, Henrique Capriles hinted at an active political future that may yet pose a challenge to President Hugo Chavez’s self-proclaimed socialist revolution.
“There are more than 6 million people who are looking for a better future, and I want to tell those more than 6 million Venezuelans to count on me,†Capriles said late Sunday, in reference to the votes he received. “I am at your service.â€
Thousands of Venezuelans poured into the streets on Sunday to celebrate the re-election of President Hugo Chavez after he defeated challenger Henrique Capriles.
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Capriles’s supporters were crestfallen after Chavez garnered about 55 percent of the vote to about 44 percent for an opposition determined to end 14 years of populist rule in one of the world’s biggest oil exporters. Capriles conceded in a subdued, emotional address, while throngs of red-shirted “Chavistas†rejoiced as El Comandante gave yet another rousing victory speech from the presidential palace’s “people’s balcony.â€
Capriles did not provide details, but the managers of his campaign on Monday said the opposition would actively engage the government in December’s elections for governorships.
And there are lingering doubts about Chavez’s health, although he has declared himself free of cancer. The president, 58, has said he has undergone three operations since June 2011 to remove a tumor, raising questions about whether he will be able to complete the six-year term that begins next year.
If he were to die in the first four years of that term, Venezuela would have to call new elections â€" potentially giving Capriles another chance.
“Capriles would have strong possibilities to be elected in that case,†said Margarita Lopez Maya, a Caracas analyst and writer who had once supported the president. “There is not a charismatic leader who could replace Chavez within Chavismo.â€
Lopez Maya believes that it would be “a grave error for Capriles to think that this was a defeat.â€
She said the unification of disparate Chavez foes, some of them from the right and others disaffected leftists who believe the president is an autocrat, has matured and prepared the opposition for future political battles. “It’s a strengthening that has been very significant,†she said.
Lopez Maya and other analysts see positive signs for the opposition in comparing Sunday’s vote with past elections.
The 6.4 million votes Capriles received represented 2.1 million more than went for opposition candidate Manuel Rosales in the 2006 presidential contest. Chavez won that election by 26 percentage points, demolishing Rosales’s political career.
This time, the margin was far closer. Chavez also increased his vote count compared with 2006, by about 700,000 ballots. But the number of people who voted Sunday was 3Â million higher than in 2006, when fewer than 12Â million went to the polls.
“What’s changed since those years is not Chavez but the opposition,†said Luis Vicente Leon, whose Caracas polling company, Datanalisis,
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